Why, to the Western mind, are Markets and Freedom linked? The answer is historical. Markets had their own law- 'the law merchant'- and sovereigns who wanted to borrow money or increase the tax base created enclaves- 'liberties'- which were autonomous and regulated by some variant of law merchant.
What was distinctive about this type of law was that there was greater economic freedom. This meant people could look at the 'opportunity cost' of what they were doing or whom they were buying and selling from. If the 'opportunity cost' was higher than their earnings they switched to doing something else or contracting with other people. This enabled general purpose productivity to rise because people got into the habit of constantly making comparisons between themselves and those, in similar circumstances, who were achieving more. By switching to the new technique or product they themselves achieved more. The Latin word for accomplishing something is efficiens. Efficiency rose because general purpose productivity rose because a mimetic habitus of evaluating opportunity cost and thus seizing new opportunities spread across the population. This was the opposite of what was happening to the serf who was told what to grow and where to grow it and how to grow it. Naturally, productivity (and intelligence and enterprise) sank where human beings were used as donkeys. It grew where people were always on the look out for new opportunities- which raised the opportunity cost of what they were doing and thus motivated them to become more efficient.
I want to emphasize that 'opportunity' to do what is most remunerative doesn't mean you will be well rewarded. A monopsonist may confiscate your 'surplus'. What matters if that you have an almost as good alternative. This is the 'opportunity cost'. No one can exploit you in one occupation because you can switch to another occupation. That is why it is important to raise 'general purpose' productivity. It is the 'regret-minimizing' course because, even if there is no exploitation today, it may come into existence tomorrow. Being free means having a 'fall back plan' such that you remain free even when circumstances change. There is no free lunch not does freedom ever come for free.
This was well understood by merchants who knew that without a strong King, the country could be invaded and they themselves enslaved. Thus, in parts of Western Europe, over time, more and more market towns promised to pay more in tax in return for, in effect, becoming 'liberties' (in medieval law, these were designated people or areas that had special freedoms from royal authority) till finally, the moneyed class gained ascendancy over the crown through Parliament (which claimed the monopoly of taxation. This is where the cry 'no taxation without representation' comes from). Liberalism became the creed of an expanding middle class till it became safe to extend the franchise to the upper working class. After the Great War, universal suffrage was attained in many places though this could cause a political problems as demands for the redistribution of wealth conflicted with military requirements and also shook business confidence.
However, after the Second World War (during which most economies became 'Command' economies in all but name) there could be a new consensus whereby, thanks to 'over-full' employment, even unskilled private sector workers made great gains in terms of material living standards while 'liberties' of a personal type were maintained in a manner reassuring to the upper class. This was a period when economic freedoms were not fully restored (the ban on owning Gold, like foreign 'exchange control' was only fully lifted in the Seventies) but political and personal freedoms burgeoned. Sadly, this consensus depended on, among other things, the Bretton Woods strait jacket which collapsed once the Oil Sheikhs demanded better terms of trade and more and more globally investible funds escaped Government control. Finally, retiring workers- who were net savers- wanted better returns from the Institutional Investors who managed their funds and this opened the door to the Plutocrat who tamed Unions and took an axe to overpaid, 3 Martini luncheon, executives, in the name of maximizing 'shareholder value'.
More recently, 'liberty' has come to mean the right of babies to have gender reassignment surgery and the social ostracism of anybody who dares to use the wrong pronoun to a person who claims to be transgender. Nobody wants this shite. But they do still like buying cool shiny stuff on open, global, markets. Things may change if Trump takes a dirigiste road and resurrects Industrial policy and Manpower policy and so forth alongside optimal tariff theory. This may reduce liberty to trade and invest but, if it means we don't have to worry about being called a TERF or a Nazi, maybe we will put up with it.
Turning to a paper Amartya Sen wrote in 1993 titled 'Markets & Freedom' we find a very different understanding of how these two concepts are linked. Perhaps this was because Sen came from Nehruvian India where there was much individual freedom but little economic freedom. It was obvious that there was no necessary connection between the two. Indeed, the opposite appeared to be the case. Liberals could enjoy personal liberty provided they did not challenge 'Socialist, Secularism' by demanding economic freedom or even (for the Hindu Right) cultural freedom.
Market mechanisms were viewed with suspicion by much of India. Consider the farmers' agitation in the late Eighties which was more recently repeated, spearheaded by the son of the original leader, and which gained international attention. It appears farmers were afraid that as agricultural markets were opened up, the class of intermediary 'arhatiyas' would be eliminated. True, economic freedom might increase and the more productive would gain, but perhaps the political power and social prestige of farmers, as a group, would decrease. This showed that in India, as elsewhere, there was fear that economic freedom would be corrosive of what Polyani called 'social embeddedness'. In other words, just as 'one man, one vote' was corrosive of traditional hierarchies, 'voting with money' in free markets appeared a threat to the social order.
Sadly, these are not issues Amartya Sen takes up. He, as in the rest of his oeuvre, misinterprets mainstream economic theory, so as to say nasty things about it, and then pours that old wine into new bottles by substituting words he takes exception to - e.g. utility- and relabelling the thing as 'opportunity freedoms' or 'capabilities'. This is a merely cosmetic change and not insightful or helpful in any way.
This may seem bizarre. Markets were 'Liberties' where the Law Merchant, not the writ of the sovereign, ran. They grew and grew till Kings became mere figureheads who reigned but did not rule. Parliament, whose original purpose was to provide money for the King, had usurped his power. People were free to choose what they wanted to buy and sell and were welcome to emigrate if they thought that would make them better off.
By contrast, non-market economies gave people little choice in what they could buy or sell. On the other hand, it was often mandatory to vote for the only one candidate on the ballot paper.
Sen ignores the fact that 'the mechanism of competitive markets' is about entrepreneurs finding out what consumers want and then supplying it. Equally, people can find out who will pay the best price for what they have to sell and thus do better for themselves. Sen confuses a certain, very stupid, very abstract, mathematical model with the actual mechanism at work in Capitalist Societies. Friedman wasn't referring to this 'Arrow-Debreu' model when he said free markets are great. He was referring to actual markets- like the market for oranges or apples. Moreover, like Hayek, Friedman was saying if you permit the undermining of market freedom, you are on a slippery slope to not having free elections or free speech or any other 'liberty'. This is isn't necessarily true. Churchill was wrong to say that the Labour party's policies would inevitably result in the rise of a new Gestapo. Still, if you like economic freedom, you have the political freedom to say everybody who thinks otherwise is a fucking Nazi. They, in their turn, are welcome to say the same about you. That's how free speech works though, sadly, it may end in a free for all of a very violent type. This is one reason an authoritarian State which preserves economic freedom may be preferable.
Can open markets promote 'individual freedoms'? No. They also can't fight crime by putting on a Batman costume. What they can do is allocate goods to those willing to pay the going rate for them. It may seem a damning indictment of the vegetable market that I can buy loaves of bread there and I can buy peas there but I can't buy love or peace. Indeed, I can't even purchase the basic dignity, owed to each and every one of God's creatures, to fart the National Anthem without shitting myself.
Sen's mistake is to think that the fundamental theorems of Welfare Econ have lie at the foundation of the justification for the Free Market. The truth is these theorems were only formulated by Ken Arrow in 1963 and were proved to be foolish or useless in 1973. The claim that they are founded in the earlier work of Pareto does not hold up since Pareto himself soon introduced sociological notions of 'Residues and Derivatives' as having greater salience than some theoretical abstraction of the market process
Consider what Wikipedia says of that abstraction-
A Walrasian auction, introduced by Léon Walras, is a type of simultaneous auction where each agent calculates its demand for the good at every possible price and submits this to an auctioneer. The price is then set so that the total demand across all agents equals the total amount of the good. Thus, a Walrasian auction perfectly matches the supply and the demand.
Walras suggested that equilibrium would always be achieved through a process of tâtonnement (French for "trial and error"), a form of hill climbing. In the 1970s, however, the Sonnenschein–Mantel–Debreu theorem proved that such a process would not necessarily reach a unique and stable equilibrium, even if the market is populated with perfectly rational agents.
This result depends on the notion that there are at least as many agents as commodities. This is nullified if 'who gets what' itself generates utility or if 'nosy preferences' exist (e.g kids should not get porn) or some commodities (e.g. kiddie porn) are repugnant. This is the case even absent externalities, non-convexities, information asymmetries etc. Why? What appears the same commodity when it is produced- e.g. Pizza- is a completely different commodity when given to different people. This is certainly the case with medical pills. Their cost may be low but the service of the prescribing Doctor is high. Even a Pizza slice becomes different when eaten by a hungry person rather than a person allergic to pizza who will die if he eats it. This can be extended to our wanting a cruel paedophile with an allergy to die and not wanting that to happen to an innocent child with the same allergy. Actually, I don't know if it is best I eat this Pizza though I am hungry and not allergic to it. It may be that if I go out just now to get a burger I will meet the love of my life. We get married and have a kid who discovers the cure for Socioproctological stupidity.
Obviously, if we assume that agents are identical, this problem goes away. But, in that case, why bother with markets? A Command economy can do a better of job of providing what people want without the inconvenience of anybody having to go shopping.
Indeed, there is no way of ruling out some non-market process which creates a superior allocation which is unique- e.g. an omniscient Benthamite planner. Equally, new 'reputational' or 'prestige' based goods could be created. Consider China's Social Credit System. It could create a caste system based on whether a person is doing things which the Party approves of or if the person is a pariah in the eyes of the Party. Equally, organized Religion could introduce ontologically dysphoric goods and services (e.g. public signals that this person is 'saved' while that person is 'damned' ) -and this might promote a better Aumann correlated equilibrium than could be achieved in a competitive, or Nash, equilibrium.
Returning to Arrow's supposedly fundamental theorems of Welfare Economics, we find they are making the rather modest claim that iff various highly unrealistic conditions are met then the competitive equilibrium would not be inferior to the outcome in a Command economy. This is scarcely triumphalist. It is nothing like the claim of the Mount Pelerin Society that markets spur productivity growth- and thus affluence- through innovation and competitive practices which drive down costs. At the same time, there is greater pressure for increased personal, political, religious and artistic and cultural freedom. People are freer, happier, and flourish by pursuing that which they themselves find best for themselves.
In this context, it is crazy of Sen to think of the fundamental of theorems of Welfare Econ as part of the ideology of the Free Marketeers. It was merely a variety of mathsy masturbation which lost salience very soon after its first formulation because of the 'anything goes' Sonnenschein–Mantel–Debreu theorem .
When I was born, many economists believed living standards were rising more rapidly in some Communist countries than in their Capitalist neighbours. True, the variety of goods might be inferior but it was claimed that quality was better and that working people were better off in, for example, North Korea than South Korea. In this context, the advocates of free enterprise changed tack. They acknowledged that a 'Nanny State' might ensure the people were well fed and warmly dressed and had decent employment. What was missing, however, was the opportunity to stand out on the basis of greater individuality and purely personal preferences and choices. Consider the manner in which the Beatles reinvented themselves on the basis not of commercial calculation but their own search for what they considered valuable. It was the superior opportunity to pursue what you considered good, by your own lights, which represented the true justification for Free Enterprise and Open Societies.
A Nanny State may ensure higher Welfare, but Free Markets gave individuals greater opportunities to develop their own individuality. Sen, with typical perversity, takes the opposite view.
Suppose your wife is unjustly imprisoned by the Sheriff. Do you go to the market and say 'could I please purchase a writ of habeas corpus'? No. You go to a lawyer who goes to court and gets the relevant writ. Freedom is a legal concept and the place where legal remedies are available is the Law Court. It isn't the market.Sen has no knowledge of any market mechanism- e.g. the Stock exchange- which ever existed. He is merely talking of a silly mathematical model which can't exist in the real world.
Sen quotes Hicks
Hicks was wrong. Before there was Hutcheson, there was the Salamanca School and before that there was the notion that the 'spontaneous order' created by the 'Law Merchant'- with which the Sovereign interfered at his peril (because his tax revenue might fall)- was a foreshadowing of God's 'mysterious economy' or invisible hand. The problem was that, for abstruse theological reasons, authors had to substitute something like utility for 'synderesis'- i.e. the in-born inclination to choose that which is good for us. That's it. That's the whole story.Consider the Bishop's opportunity set which for religious reasons is only (opportunity to not pick up the coin while farting). It is inferior to (opportunity to not pick up the coin while farting). Why? Surely the two are identical? The answer is that there was also the option (opportunity to not pick up the coin while farting while also grasping that the action was imperfect because it did not fully affirm God as the only efficient cause). This is inferior to (opportunity to not pick up etc. while grasping that grasping an action is imperfect is itself to cast doubt on God as the efficient cause) which is why this is inferior to (not pick up while farting) which isn't the same as what we started off with precisely because of the theological tour assessing it caused us to take.
In his essay on The Advancement of Learning, written nearly 400 years ago, Francis Bacon argued that 'the registering and proposing of doubts has a double use'.
Only with respect to what is observable or that which is proposed as an explanation for changes in what is observable. In other words, systematic doubt is useful in the natural sciences and purely empirical matters. It may be highly mischievous, when it is not useless, in other contexts.
Aside from its obvious use in helping us to guard 'against errors',
in empirical contexts
doubts can contribute to broadening an investigation.
into an investigation into whether it really is an investigation rather than a type of fart
Issues that 'would have been passed by lightly without intervention,' Bacon noted, end up being 'attentively and carefully observed'
only if they are actually observable
precisely because of the intervention of doubts.
Doubts are not observable. There is little point doubting whether your doubts regarding the weather forecast isn't actually the fart of an invisible leprechaun.
This second use is very important to bear in mind as we try to assess the critiques of globalisation that have been recently aired in different forms.
People observed that globalisation helped poor countries which embraced open markets to rise up. What few at that time understood was that China could rise up so rapidly as to pose a challenge to the USA.
The importance of these challenges lies, I would argue, not so much in the 'theses' that are presented as simple slogans on posters and placards, but in the 'themes' that they bring forcefully into global discussion.
Sen is talking about 'challenges' which weren't important at all. They were street theatre merely.
Demonstrations have recently occurred not only at the venues of international financial gatherings (for example, in Seattle where the WTO were to meet), but also, in the form of less organised but intense protests, in different national capitals, all the way from Jakarta and Bangkok to Abidjan and Mexico.
They had zero impact.
These doubts about global economic relations continue to come from different ends of the globe, and there is reason enough to see these doubts about globalisation as a global phenomenon as well. They are, in this sense, 'global doubts' - not just an ad hoc assortment of localised opposition.
These weren't doubts. They were public displays of stupidity and impotence.
However, the significance of this phenomenon does not undermine the economic case for global trade and worldwide use of modern technology and finance.
For the same reason that farting does not undermine actuarial science. The two things aren't related in any way.
Indeed, that case is, I believe, very strong. And nevertheless, these disputations can have a very positive role in broadening our investigation of economic and financial relations in the world and in forcing attention to issues that could have been otherwise neglected.
No such thing happened. Anyway, Sen was too ignorant and stupid to engage in any such thing.
We have to distinguish the distinct issues involved.
No we don't. Globalization meant that some people selling at a low price in a national market could sell at a higher price on a global market. They were the winners. The losers were those who sold at a high price in national markets but who went out of business when cheaper goods flooded in from abroad. In poorer 'labour surplus' countries, there was a net gain from globalization reflected in much higher GDP growth. Capital exporting countries too could gain but, it may be, there would be a price to be paid in terms of a decline in 'hegemony' and a 'hollowing out' of the middle class.
Sen comes from a part of the world where 'globalization', somewhat coercively accomplished, undermined traditional, indigenous, aristocracies while enabling the rise of a bildungsburgertum- or 'class which rose through education'. As in late eighteenth/nineteenth Germany, there was a 'beamtenliberalismus' or 'top-down' liberalism of the officials. It is from this obsolete perspective that Sen utters his Sen-tentious bromides. He and his ilk were supplanted by people like Purnendu Chatterjee who, in the Seventies, preferred O.R to Social Choice theory and quickly became a billionaire creating thousands of well paid jobs in highly utile industries- e.g. Haldia Petrochemicals in West Bengal. There was a time when the average Bengali would have sided with the Government against 'Capitalist vulture' Chatterjee. But long experience of corrupt and incompetent Leftist Governments caused Bengalis to cheer for Chatterjee when he prevailed. People now understand that it is better to have a profitable industry which produces useful things rather than a bankrupt plant rotting away under Government control.
It is a fact that if general-purpose productivity rises, there will, at least initially, be greater inequality. This is a good thing. It motivates 'Tardean mimetics'- i.e. imitating what the more successful are doing. Economic freedom means bigger mimetic effects of this sort and thus a more rapid spread of a habitus associated with higher general purpose productivity. This, by itself, can create a virtuous circle of 'endogenous' growth.
What has Sen to say about inequality in this connection? Returning to his paper on Markets & Freedom we find this-
Sen's mistake is to think of 'opportunity-freedom' as reducible to buying or selling a commodity. This isn't the case. You may have the opportunity to prevent someone else being productive. This isn't a commodity but it can gain you a pay-off. A check on processes which create more inequality is the 'countervailing power' of those who can prevent that process from operating unless they are paid off. The reverse is also the case. Power and wealth may accrue to those who get rid of 'countervailing' power so that productivity enhancing processes can burgeon. Those who wield such power may go in for 'welfare'. This may involve co-opting those who claim to be fighting them with might and main. Sadly, under the guise of 'welfare', rent-extraction may be occurring.
1 comment:
Honestly, Vivek I find it ridiculous you haven’t been offered tenure at LSE with the title of econ-retard dunker yet
Post a Comment