Saturday, 29 August 2026

Peter Singer on the Bangladesh famine

The Argumentum ad Populum (Bandwagon Fallacy) consists of presuming that an idea is good or correct simply because you treat it as a universal norm. However, to the best of our knowledge there is no 'indefeasible' universal norm- i.e. one which operates all the time. Thus I was often told by my Professors that 'farting is bad' even if you happen to be a Hindu and believe it is your religious obligation to express appreciation of a lecture through thunderous flatulence. However, though farting is frowned upon in the classroom, it is perfectly acceptable once you are in the toilet. 

In 1972, Peter Singer published 'Famine, Affluence & Morality' which was nothing but a cascade of 'bandwagon fallacies' meretriciously or mischievously strung together. 

As I write this, in November I97I,

it wasn't clear that India would win & Bangladesh would be liberated. Nor was it obvious that the transition to democracy in East Bengal would cause a big famine- just as happened in 1943.  

people are dying in East Bengal from lack of food, shelter, and medical care.

Many were being killed by soldiers or 'razakars'.  

The suffering and death that are occurring there now are not inevitable, not unavoidable in any fatalistic sense of the term. Constant poverty, a cyclone, and a civil war have turned at least nine million people into destitute refugees;

No. It was the Pakistan Army's genocidal policies which caused people to flee.  

nevertheless, it is not beyond the capacity of the richer nations to give enough assistance to reduce any further suffering to very small proportions.

It was beyond Nixon's capacity to save Yahya Khan & his troops from defeat. 

The decisions and actions of human beings can prevent this kind of suffering.

Indira Gandhi decided to put an end to East Bengal's suffering. Also, she hoped the refugees would go home once the Pak army had surrendered.  

Unfortunately, human beings have not made the necessary decisions.

Indira had. Singer was and is an ignorant shithead.  

At the individual level, people have, with very few exceptions, not responded to the situation in any significant way. Generally speaking, people have not given large sums to relief funds;

Stupid fucker didn't get that guns and soldiers were needed to defeat the genocidal Pak army.  

they have not written to their parliamentary representatives demanding increased government assistance;

because they weren't as stupid as Singer. 

they have not demonstrated in the streets, held symbolic fasts, or done anything else directed toward providing the refugees with the means to satisfy their essential needs.

Sadly, Singer didn't fast to death on this issue.  But he did express puzzlement that Britain spent 30 times more money on Concorde- an investment it believed would be profitable- than on famine relief to Bangladesh (a country whose main problem was that it was occupied by genocidal Pakistani soldiers who wanted to change the DNA of the Bengalis by systematically raping their women.)

The implication is that the British government values a supersonic transport more than thirty times as  highly as it values the lives of the nine million refugees.

No. The implication is that it thought Concorde was a profitable investment. Over the course of its lifetime, the Government expected to get much more money out of it than it put into it. Nobody thinks feeding the starving is an investment. It is charity and nothing more.  

.... India will be forced to choose between letting the refugees starve or diverting funds from her own development program, which will mean that more of her own people will starve in the future.'

Which is why Indira sent in the Indian Army.  

These are the essential facts about the present situation in Bengal.

There was only one essential fact- viz. Pak Army was raping and killing Bengalis. Many ran away. Some stayed to fight. But only the Indian Army could force the surrender of the Pakistanis.  

So far as it concerns usi here, there is nothing unique about this situation except its magnitude. The Bengal emergency is just the latest and most acute of a series of major emergencies in various parts of the world, arising both from natural and from man-made causes.

I suppose Singer was thinking of the Biafra famine which was War related. But the Bangladesh campaign was short and did not affect food supply.  

There are also many parts of the world in which people die from malnutrition and lack of food independent of any special emergency.

American food aid did save millions of lives till the Green Revolution worked its magic. Speaking generally, only Communist countries- which refused food aid and denied they had a famine- were not getting adequate help from US and UN bodies. 

There also were some charitable foundations which did good work. However, dumping food on agricultural countries harms indigenous farmers and creates dependency. By the Seventies, some charitable organisations were being subject to infiltration and takeover by Leftist nutters. The joke was that it was Communist famines which had killed the largest number of people in the Twentieth Century. 

I take Bengal as my example only because

Singer assumed his audience was as ignorant of it as he was himself. To be fair, India only officially entered the war on the third of December. 

it is the present concern, and because the size of the problem has ensured that it has been given adequate publicity. Neither individuals nor governments can claim to be unaware of what is happening there. What are the moral implications of a situation like this?

Support Indira when she sends in Indian troops. Screw the Baghdad pact. Tell Yahya he is on his own.  

In what follows, I shall argue that the way people in relatively affluent countries react to a situation like that in Bengal cannot be justified;

Singer's reaction can't be justified. Sending money and food to Bangladesh would have enriched the Pakistan army and enabled the Razakars to buy support.

People in affluent countries should get on with their own jobs. They shouldn't do stupid shit. Diplomats are paid out of the money raised by taxes. Let them figure out what to do about emergencies in far away places. 

The word 'ultracrepidarian' has to do with talking about things of which you have little knowledge or experience. Singer's ultracrepidarian essay was published some months after Indira had solved the Bangladesh problem with military force. After that aid did flood in but the incompetence and corruption of the new regime meant that when a big famine hit in 1974, there was compassion fatigue. Also, the global food market was very tight. It was obvious that food was not a 'distributional' issue. It was agronomic- i.e. a scientific matter of raising yields and economising on inputs. 

indeed, the whole way we look at moral issues-our moral conceptual scheme -needs to be altered, and with it, the way of life that has come to be taken for granted in our society.

If we did stupid shit- of the sort Singer recommends- we would almost immediately become as poor as those we seek to help. Thus the determination to do stupid shit itself reduces the ability to do stupid shit. 

In a footnote, Singer says ' There was also a third possibility: that India would go to war to enable the refugees to return to their lands. Since I wrote this paper, India has taken this way out. The situation is no longer that described above, but this does not affect my argument, as the next paragraph indicates.'

It was always known that war-time famines can seldom be alleviated save by one side winning. This is because food aid given to an occupied country could be diverted to the occupying power. Indeed, it may be sold so as to buy weapons. 

In arguing for this conclusion I will not, of course, claim to be morally neutral. I shall, however, try to argue for the moral position  that I take, so that anyone who accepts certain assumptions, to be made explicit, will, I hope, accept my conclusion.

They would have to be mad or stupid to accept Singer's assumptions. In technical terms, he is committing a fallacy of relevance or 'ignoratio elenchi' 

I begin with the assumption that suffering and death from lack of food, shelter, and medical care are bad.

For whom? My suffering is bad for me but is entertaining for my enemies. Still, I suppose one could say that savants who discover more efficient or efficacious methods of providing food, shelter & medical treatment are considered to have done a good thing. But this doesn't mean that such actions are always good. Suppose resources required for defence are diverted to welfare spending and the Nation suffers conquest and enslavement, then tolerating hunger and disease was the right course of action.  

More generally, we understand that it would be bad if Mummy died but we also understand that it would be worse if nobody ever died. 

What Singer can't do is to show that the world would be a better place if his policy prescriptions were followed. I suppose, not being an economist, he doesn't have the tools to do it. But, the thing can't be done.

I think most people will agree about this, although one may reach the same view by different routes. I shall not argue for this view. People can hold all sorts of eccentric positions, and perhaps from some of them it would not follow that death by starvation is in itself bad.

Sadly, agricultural workers who survive a famine gain higher real wages precisely because the supply of labour fell. 

The fact is significant starvation deaths can cause even the most evil of tyrants to change their policies- or fail to enforce them. 

 

It is difficult, perhaps impossible, to refute such positions, and so for brevity I will henceforth take this assumption as accepted. Those who disagree need read no further.

Nobody needs to read ignorant shite. 

My next point is this: if it is in our power to prevent something bad from happening, without thereby sacrificing anything of comparable moral importance, we ought, morally, to do it.

In this case, Indira had to sacrifice 'Ahimsa' (non-violence) to save the lives of millions. One risk she took was that Nixon might 'nuke Calcutta'.  

By "without sacrificing anything of comparable moral importance" I mean without causing anything else comparably bad to happen, or doing something that is wrong in itself, or failing to promote some moral good, comparable in significance to the bad thing that we can prevent.

In economic terms, Singer is saying 'do good provided there is no opportunity cost'. Sadly, the only thing which isn't scarce is worthless virtue signalling verbiage.  

This principle seems almost as uncontroversial as the last one.

It is meaningless. One can ascribe any moral value one likes to an 'opportunity cost'. Suppose Indira hadn't got a defence pact with the Soviet Union. Then she could have said 'I grieve for the people of Bangladesh but won't send in the Army because we Indians are so greatly attached to Ahimsa.' As a matter of fact, Pakistan let the US off the hook by attacking India first.  

It requires us only to prevent what is bad, and not to promote what is good, and it requires this of us only when we can do it without sacrificing anything that is, from the moral point of view, comparably important.

Anybody can say anything at all is morally more important than anything else.  

I could even, as far as the application of my argument to the Bengal emergency is concerned, qualify the point so as to make it: if it is in our power to prevent something very bad from happening, without thereby sacrificing anything morally significant, we ought, morally, to do it.

Indira sent in the army. But Pakistan attacked first. She had her cake and could eat it too.  

An application of this principle would be as follows: if I am walking past a shallow pond and see a child drowning in it, I ought to wade in and pull the child out.

Unless you believe God wants the kid to drown and to defy His Will is impious.  

This will mean getting my clothes muddy, but this is insignificant, while the death of the child would presumably be a very bad thing.

Or it may be a blessed deliverance because Joseph Kony is about to enter the village. He will rape the kid and get him acddicted to drugs and then turn him loose as a child soldier.  

The uncontroversial appearance of the principle just stated is deceptive.

It isn't a principle at all. It's just the assertion that saving a kid from drowning is worthwhile even if your clothes get muddy. The assumption is that you live in an affluent society of a certain sort. 

Suppose you are the ADC to the Dictator. You arrive late and with a muddy uniform and you are sent to the Gulag. Your whole family is ruined. Let the kid drown. He'd have starved in any case.  

If it were acted upon, even in its qualified form, our lives, our society, and our world would be fundamentally changed.

No. If stupid ideas are acted upon bad shit happens till, at the margin, those stupid ideas are more honoured in the breach.  

For the principle takes, firstly, no account of proximity or distance. It makes no moral difference whether the person I can help is a neighbor's child ten yards from me or a Bengali whose name I shall never know, ten thousand miles away.

Which is why people can be fooled into thinking that for the low low price of $ 9. 99  you can save the lives of ten trillion African kids & bring them to Jesus. 

Secondly, the principle makes no distinction between cases in which I am the only person who could possibly do anything and cases in which I am just one among millions in the same position.

In other words, the principle ignores 'uncorrelated asymmetries' (e.g. who has the power & responsibility to assist and who is merely a virtue signalling nutter) and thus can't create eusocial 'bourgeois strategies'.  

I do not think I need to say much in defense of the refusal to take proximity and distance into account.

Verifiable information is available to the person in proximity.  The person at distance may or  may not get 'hear-say' information

The fact that a person is physically near to us, so that we have personal contact with him, may make it more likely that we shall assist him, but this does not show that we ought to help him rather than another who happens to be further away.

Nothing shows what anybody ought to do though they may speak as though this were not the case- e.g. saying 'the Bible shows me what to do' rather than 'my decision to become a Christian causes me to read the Bible and to alter my behaviour in accordance with what I read there.' 

If we accept any principle of impartiality, universalizability, equality, or whatever,

absolutely nothing is entailed.  

we cannot discriminate against someone merely because he is far away from us (or we are far away from him).

Very true. When I serve dinner to my guests I also travel around the world serving dinner to everybody. This is because I accepted some silly principle and thus gained super-powers.  

Admittedly, it is possible that we are in a better position to judge what needs to be done to help a person near to us than one far away, and perhaps also to provide the assistance we judge to be necessary.

However, by accepting some stupid principle, you will gain the powers of Superman & Santa Claus combined!  

If this were the case, it would be a reason for helping those near to us first. This may once have been a justification for being more concerned with the poor in one's own town than with famine victims in India.

It is the justification for giving much higher Social Security benefits to one's own people than one does to people in other countries.  

Unfortunately for those who like to keep their moral responsibilities limited, instant communication and swift transportation have changed the situation.

By accepting Singer's principles, you turn into Superman. You can hear anything said in distant galaxies. You can travel faster thant the speed of light so as to go back in time to provide food for the merely peckish.  

From the moral point of view, the development of the world into a "global village" has made an important, though still unrecognized, difference to our moral situation.

It made large scale famines possible in countries which hadn't had the thing for centuries. Why? World Wars & Cold Wars & the possibility of exogenous supply shocks created greater vulnerability among populations dependent on food imports from distant continents.   

Expert observers and supervisors, sent out by famine relief organizations or permanently stationed in famine-prone areas, can direct our aid to a refugee in Bengal almost as effectively as we could get it to someone in our own block.

No. It turned out that the Bengali public distribution system was as shitty in 1974 as in 1943. It simply wasn't the case that there was an Oxbridge philosophy professor supervising things in every single Bengali village.  

There would seem, therefore, to be no possible justification for discriminating on geographical grounds.

Which is why Peter Singer personally flies around the world wiping the bums of everybody rather than content himself with just wiping his own bum. 

There is a legal justification for helping those to whom one has a legal obligation- e.g. the Government of Bangladesh's responsibility to feed East Bengalis under the provisions of the 1913 Act. There is a legal obstacle (to do with fiduciary duty) to using public funds or that of some corporate entity for a purpose not justified by law. 

Is there a philosophical justification for accepting legal justifications? Sure. It is called Utilitarianism.  

There may be a greater need to defend the second implication of my principle- that the fact that there are millions of other people in the same position, in respect to the Bengali refugees, as I am, does not make the situation significantly different from a situation in which I am the only person who can prevent something very bad from occurring.

Sure it does. Suppose I am the last man left on earth. I feel I have a duty to have sex with any surviving woman who wishes to have a baby. Indeed, I may even feel justified in raping the young and nubile nun whose sacred vows prevent her from consenting to what she herself sees as a necessary act. However, if there are millions of men, I have no duty or justification for having sex with any particular woman. Someone else has a stronger claim with respect to each of them- unless there actually is some girl undiscriminating enough to want me to slip her the sausage. 

Again, of course, I admit that there is a psychological difference between the cases; one feels less guilty about doing nothing if one can point to others, similarly placed, who have also done nothing.

The opposite is more likely. You feel your guilt is greater because, unlike everybody else, you are a lovely bloke. 

I may mention, I feel more and more guilt that I didn't prove the Reimann hypothesis by creating a 'field of one' because I was too busy fucking super-models. No. They weren't male super-models. They were young human females- albeit imaginary ones. 

In this case, my 'guilt' is actually a claim to being a gifted mathematician rather than a fucking moron.  

Yet this can make no real difference to our moral obligations.2 Should I consider that I am less obliged to pull the drowning child out of the pond if on looking around I see other people, no further away than I am, who have also noticed the child but are doing nothing?

If you see the life-guard is doing nothing, chances are the child isn't drowning. Also, it isn't a child. It is a walrus. Should of gone to Specsavers- innit? 

One has only to ask this question to see the absurdity of the view that numbers lessen obligation.

Numbers create 'collective action problems' whose solutions are studied by Political Economy. Philosophy can only add noise to signal.  

It is a view that is an ideal excuse for inactivity; unfortunately most of the major evils-poverty, overpopulation, pollution-are problems in which everyone is almost equally involved.

These are collective action problems whose solutions have existed for thousands of years. Poverty is tackled by raising total factor productivity. Overpopulation is tackled through contraception. Pollution is tackled through Pigouvian taxes, Coasian 'internalization' on the basis of property rights & tort law, as well as legislation. The problem of famine was tackled through buffer stocks & (for rain fed agriculture) water management through check dams, ponds, canals etc.  

The view that numbers do make a difference can be made plausible if stated in this way: if everyone in circumstances like mine gave to the Bengal Relief Fund, there would be enough to provide food, shelter, and medical care for the refugees; there is no reason why I should give more than anyone else in the same circumstances as I am; therefore I have no obligation to give more.

It is true that there can be a 'free rider problem'. But mechanism design is the 'reverse game theory' which tackles the problem such that robust solutions to collective action problems become available. England hasn't had a famine since 1623. But it has had periods of quite severe rationing.  

Each premise in this argument is true, and the argument looks sound. It may convince us, unless we notice that it is based on a hypothetical premise, although the conclusion is not stated hypothetically. The argument would be sound if the conclusion were: if everyone in circumstances like mine were to give, I would have no obligation to give more than.

The solution to ollective action problems generally involve legal obligations- e.g. for those earning more than a certain amount to pay taxes or for those who are able bodied getting conscripted. A particular philosopher may feel he or she has a supererogatory obligation. But rapists too may think it is up to them to supply sperm to attractive women- or goats.   

If the conclusion were so stated, however, it would be obvious that the argument has no bearing on a situation in which it is not the case that everyone else gives .

It had no bearing in a situation where some governments were indeed spending tax money on overseas aid. Moreover, there were international organizations as well as NGOs coordinating aid. 

The Bangladesh case was peculiar because

1) Pakistan was an American ally and Pakistan didn't want Bangladesh to get aid. Moreover, Sheikh Mujib was a Socialist allied to Moscow. The US were particuarly angry with his decision to tade with Cuba

2) There was a global food crisis in 1974. Thus though there was enough aid in 1972, there wasn't in 1974. No doubt, corruption in Bangladesh exacerbated the situation. 

This, of course, is the actual situation. It is more or less certain that not everyone in circumstances like mine will give. So there will not be enough to provide the needed food, shelter, and medical care. Therefore by giving more  I will prevent more suffering than I would if I gave just the same amount.

Sadly, the amount would not be 'material' from the accountancy point of view unless you are very rich indeed. Even then, the logistical problems may be insurmountable.  

In a footnote, Singer writes 

2. In view of the special sense philosophers often give to the term, I should say that I use "obligation" simply as the abstract noun derived from "ought," so that "I have an obligation to" means no more, and no less, than "I ought to." This usage is in accordance with the definition of "ought" given by the Shorter Oxford English Dictionary: "the general verb to express duty or obligation." I do not think any issue of substance hangs on the way the term is used; sentences in which I use "obligation" could all be rewritten, although somewhat clumsily, as sentences in which a clause containing "ought" replaces the term "obligation." 

Singer ignores the fact that obligation started off as meaning a legal or ritual obligation.  

It stems from the Latin verb obligare, meaning "to bind, tie up, or bandage" (ob- meaning "around" or "against" plus ligare meaning "to tie"). Figuratively, it meant to put someone under a legal or moral constraint. [1, 2, 3]
Old French: The term passed into early 13th-century Old French as obligacion, meaning duty or responsibility. [1]
Middle English: It entered the English language around 1300 as obligacioun, referring to a binding pledge or a commitment to fulfill a promise. [1]
Modern Meanings: By roughly 1600, the definition expanded to mean a moral duty or a state of indebtedness caused by gratitude

By contrast 'ought' is Anglo-Saxon & originally referred to ownership or what is owed. By the 17th century it functioned as a modal verb- i.e. it modified a regular verb referring to an action or state. 'I ought to' does not mean 'I have an obligation to'. Thus Mummy may say 'I ought to break your leg because you climbed that tree even though I told you not to.' This does not mean Mummy has a legal obligation to break your leg. However, she may say 'I am obliged to report you to the police because you stabbed your sister. I don't want to do so because I know they will go easy on you. Indeed, I ought to kick your fucking head in, you evil little shit.' 
It might be thought that this argument has an absurd consequence. Since the situation appears to be that very few people are likely to give substantial amounts, it follows that I and everyone else in similar circumstances ought to give as much as possible,

Since very few people are chopping off their heads and shoving them up their arses, it follows that we must show greater alacrity in doing so.  

that is, at least up to the point at which by giving more one would begin to cause serious suffering for oneself and one's dependents-perhaps even beyond this point to the point of marginal utility, at which by giving more one would cause oneself and one's dependents as much suffering as one would prevent in Bengal.

This is the sort of delusion Simone Weil suffered. She starved herself to death in the belief that people in France were on similar short rations. The coroner decided that she was mad at the time.  

The plain fact was that stupid Professors of worthless subjects couldn't alter the condition of people living in far away places. What they could do was alleviate suffering in their own neighborhoods by giving beejays to hobos. 

If everyone does this, however, there will be more than can be used for the benefit of the refugees, and some of the sacrifice will have been unnecessary. Thus, if everyone does what he ought to do, the result will not be as good as it would be if everyone did a little less than he ought to do, or if only some do all that they ought to do. The paradox here arises only if

people don't have Rational Expectations- i.e. expect the prediction of the correct economic theory (which has to do with collective action problems). Econ had closed a question to which Philosophy had contributed nothing since the time of Gossen & 'diminishing marginal utility'.  

we assume that the actions in question-sending money to the relief funds-are performed more or less simultaneously, and are also unexpected. For if it is to be expected that everyone is going to contribute something, then clearly each is not obliged to give as much as he would have been obliged to had others not been giving too. And if everyone is not acting more or less simultaneously, then those giving later will know how much more is needed, and will have no obligation to give more than is necessary to reach this amount.

This is crazy shite. Everybody reading Singer's paper in 1972 knew that collective action problems re. famine were being tackled in ways pioneered by Hoover and later codified by civil servants like B.R. Sen. 

It must be said, prior to the complete break-down of Bretton Woods, there was some sense to campaigning to raise the proportion of GNP devoted to overseas aid because capital markets weren't free to do the job. But, already, people like Myint & Bauer had shown how and why this was counter-productive. It must be said, the Rockerfeller & Ford Foundation did a good job in helping finance the Green Revolution. Oxfam, too, was once quite useful. Sadly, it became the target of anti-apartheid activists because of its association with Barclays Bank. The lunatics were taking over the asylum. Thus, in the Eighties, the World Bank did a great job in Communist China but were hamstrung by 'activists' when they tried to replicate their success in the Nineties in India. 

To say this is not to deny the principle that people in the same circumstances have the same obligations,

which is certainly true of tax-payers. This is called 'horizontal equity'.  

but to point out that the fact that others have given, or may be expected to give, is a relevant circumstance: those giving after it has become known that many others are giving and those giving before are not in the same circumstances.

Yes they are provided they have Rational Expectations. If they don't, they are irrational and should mend their ways. 

Under Singer's assumption you would have a 'cobweb' which would be destabilizing if elasticity of supply (i.e. food aid) is greater than than demand (i.e. food required by the starving). Here you could get a perverse outcome such that indigenous farmers are priced out and thus local supply falls and immeserization increases. 

The problem with dependency of this type is that charity can suddenly disappear. 

So the seemingly absurd consequence of the principle I have put forward can occur only if people are in error about the actual circumstances- that is, if they think they are giving when others are not, but in fact they are giving when others are.

No. This is merely a failure of coordination. Sadly, these things do happen. There are many places which refuse to accept aid when a disaster strikes because 'too many cooks spoil the broth'- i.e. there are diseconomies.  

The result of everyone doing what he really ought to do cannot be worse than the result of everyone doing less than he ought to do, although the result of everyone doing what he reasonably believes he ought to do could be.

Governments exist because collective action problems arise where 'externalities' arise. Philosophers may not know this but, if you really care about famines you need to study the economic conditions under which they arise or are nipped in the bud.  

If my argument so far has been sound,

it is ignorant nonsense 

neither our distance from a preventable evil nor the number of other people who, in respect to that evil, are in the same situation as we are, lessens our obligation to mitigate or prevent that evil.

There is no obligation to do stupid shit- e.g. respond to an economic problem by talking philosophical bollocks.  

I shall therefore take as established the principle I asserted earlier.

viz. that individuals acting independently can solve collective action problems. That is why, in 1939, many British people bought guns and uniforms and went off to fight the Nazis. It isn't the case that they left it to their Government to recruit soldiers and to train and arm them and then send them into battle under experienced commanders.  

As I have already said, I need to assert  it only in its qualified form: if it is in our power to prevent something very bad from happening,

as individuals, it isn't, if the thing has the hallmarks of a 'collective action problem'- i.e. large group size, externalities, non-convexities, preference revelation problems, concurrency problems, high coordinations costs etc.  

without thereby sacrificing anything else morally significant, we ought, morally, to do it.

If there is an opportunity cost, this will be case. The problem is that there is no objective way to say what is or isn't morally significant.  

The outcome of this argument is that our traditional moral categories are upset.

Our common sense is outraged. This nutter thinks collective action problems can be solved by individual actions of a morally motivated type. 

I suppose there were people who went to fight in the Spanish Civil War because of their moral beliefs. But they achieved nothing whatsoever. That is why they accepted immoral alliances (e.g. with Stalin) so as to avoid defeat.  

The traditional distinction between duty and charity cannot be drawn, or at least, not in the place we normally draw it. Giving money to the Bengal Relief Fund

doesn't actually give any relief to a Bengali unless some Government- e.g. that of Indira or that of Mujib- permits and facillitates it.  

is regarded as an act of charity in our society. The bodies which collect money are known as "charities."

Which, at one time, they were. Then, many of them were taken over by lefty gobshites.  

These organizations see themselves in this way-if you send them a check, you will be thanked for your "generosity." Because giving money is regarded as an act of charity, it is not thought that there is anything wrong with not giving. The charitable man may be praised, but the man who is not charitable is not condemned.

In a free society anyone can condemn anybody for anything 

People do not feel in any way ashamed or guilty about spending money on new clothes or a new car instead of giving it to famine relief.

They don't even weep bitter tears over their own selfish refusal to suck off hobos.  

(Indeed, the alternative does not occur to them.)

Whereas Singer always remembers that the alternative to giving a lecture is to spend that time sucking off hobos. He weeps bitterlay at his moral failure.  

This way of looking at the matter cannot be justified. When we buy new clothes not to keep ourselves warm but to look "well-dressed" we are not providing for any important need.

Singer is not providing for the important needs of horny hobos. Shame on him!  

We would not be sacrificing anything significant if we were to continue to wear our old clothes, and give the money to famine relief.

We wouldn't be achieving anything 'material'- i.e. impactful enough to be registered by Accounants.  

By doing so, we would be preventing another person from starving.

This is the delusion fostered by the Charity sector. Still, they pay their employees which is why they aren't hobos whom Peter Singer ought to be sucking off.  

It follows from what I have said earlier that we ought to give money away, rather than spend it on clothes which we do not need to keep us warm.

If everybody did so, the economy would collapse. If a few do so, nothing changes. Some boring shitheads get to go around puffed up with pride. But are they sucking off hobos? No? If so they are selfish cunts.  

To do so is not charitable, or generous. Nor is it the kind of act which philosophers and theologians have called "supererogatory"-an act which it would be good to do, but not wrong not to do. On the contrary, we ought to give the money away, and it is wrong not to do so.

This is an ipese dixit assertion of no greater or lesser worth than my claim that Singer should suck off hobos.  

(it might)..be interesting to consider why our society, and most other societies, do judge differently from the way I have suggested they should.

The answer is that all societies understand the difference between collective action problems and those where no coordination between individuals is required (other than which spontaneously appears- e.g. the price vector in the market)  

In a well-known article, J. 0. Urmson suggests that the imperatives of duty, which tell us what we must do, as distinct from what it would be good to do but not wrong not to do, function so as to prohibit behavior that is intolerable if men are to live together in society.

Where a collective action problem arises a person is entrusted with a particular duty in return for remuneration or as part of a liturgical duty enforced by the State.  

This may explain the origin and continued existence of the present division between acts of duty and acts of charity.

A person who helps the poor because he is paid to do so by a Charity is said to be doing his duty. However, if there is a supererogatory aspect to this, or his 'transfer earnings' are very high, we may say that he acts not out of duty but as a matter of charity or profound altruism.  

Moral attitudes are shaped by the needs of society, and no doubt society needs people who will observe the rules that make social existence tolerable.

It needs policemen who will arrest those who make social existence intolerable. Singer writes as though he was unaware that Governments exist everywhere. The police get paid to catch & lock up bad hombres.  

From the point of view of a particular society, it is essential to prevent violations of norms against killing, stealing, and so on. It is quite inessential, however, to help people outside one's own society.

But it could be helpful in a Cold War context. The Bangladesh famine was America's way of telling the Muslims in OPEC that Uncle Sam had a 'food weapon' more powerful than the 'oil weapon'. One result was that Saudi Arabia subsdized agriculture to an extent ruinous of its acquifers. Thus, forty years ago, Saudi Arabia was exporting water melons!  

If this is an explanation of our common distinction between duty and supererogation, however, it is not a justification of it.

Anything can be the justification of anything else in the eyes of some person. My fart is my justification for having proved the Reimann hypothesis while making love to Arsulla Undress. Sadly, I failed to write it down but my justification for that is my having shat myself.  

The moral point of view requires us to look beyond the interests of our own society.

We don't know what is beyond the interests of anyone or anything.  

Previously, as I have already mentioned, this may hardly have been feasible, but it is quite feasible now.

Could Singer acquire enough food to ship to Bangladesh in 1974 so as to avert famine deaths? No. The US government could have decided to draw down strategic reserves and requisition or otherwise arrange shipping. They may even have been able to 'put boots on the ground' to ensure the distribution of food. But the Americans were in no mood to repeat the mistakes they had made in Vietnam.  

From the moral point of view, the prevention of the starvation of millions of people outside our society must be considered at least as pressing as the upholding of property norms within our society.

This is sheer fantasy. The American Government did have the food reserves & the military might to intervene. Nixon did send the fleet to the Bay of Bengal on December 10. A 'humanitarian mission' would not have been opposed but the American voter was war weary.  

It has been argued by some writers, among them Sidgwick and Urmson, that we need to have a basic moral code which is not too far beyond the capacities of the ordinary man, for otherwise there will be a general breakdown of compliance with the moral code.

Something like this has always obtained which is why courts have faced no great difficulty in adjudicating 'moral clauses' or detecting and punishing moral lapses of a justiciable type.  

Crudely stated, this argument suggests that if we tell people that they ought to refrain from murder and give everything they do not really need to famine relief, they will do neither, whereas if we tell them that they ought to refrain from murder and that it is good to give to famine relief but not wrong not to do, so, they will at least refrain from murder.

More crudely stated, this argument is that a fucking cretin will be listened to if he says 'please don't eat your own shit'. The fact is nobody gives a toss about what professors of worthless shite are saying.  

The issue here is: Where should we drawn the line between conduct that is required and conduct that is good although not required, so as to get the best possible result? This would seem to be an empirical question, although a very difficult one.

Yet courts decide such questions all the time.  

One objection to the Sidgwick-Urmson line of argument is that it takes insufficient account of the effect that moral standards can have on the decisions we make.

This is like saying eating your own shit takes insufficient account of piss.  

Given a society in which a wealthy man who gives five percent of his income to famine relief is regarded as most generous,

He isn't if he keeps banging on about it. We think Bill Gates is a narcissistic self-promoter, not Mother fucking Theresa.  

it is not surprising that a proposal that we all ought to give away half our incomes will be thought to be absurdly unrealistic.

It is like the proposal that all Utilitarians should  suck off hobos.  

In a society which held that no man should have more than enough while others have less than they need,

there was no such society. Marx said 'to each according to his contribution'. Also it turned out that living in poverty- like Mahatma Gandhi or the Pope- cost much more than living like a Rothschild. 

such a proposal might seem narrow-minded.

As might my proposal than Singer suck off hobos when, the truth is, he should also let Nazis shit on his tits.  

 In order to show that my conclusions, while certainly contrary to contemporary Western moral standards, would not have seemed so extraordinary at other times and in other places, I would like to quote a passage from a writer not normally thought of as a way-out radical, Thomas Aquinas. 

He believed that he would get to Heaven for all eternity. If you believe the same you might even chop off your own bollocks- like Origen.  

Now, according to the natural order instituted by divine providence, material goods are provided for the satisfaction of human needs. Therefore the division and appropriation of property, which proceeds from human law, must not hinder the satisfaction of man's necessity from such goods. Equally, whatever a man has in superabundance is owed, of natural right, to the poor for their sustenance. So Ambrosius says, and it is also to be found in the Decretum Gratiani: "The bread which you withhold belongs to the hungry; the clothing you shut away, to the naked; and the money you bury in the earth is the redemption and freedom of the penniless."

Also if you don't hand over lots of money to the Church- while letting the Vicar sodomize your son- you will BURN IN HELL FOR ALL ETERNITY! 

Still, you can't say the Vatican wasn't broad-minded. The Pope was prepared to let Henry VIII marry off his bastard son to his legitimate daughter. 

I now want to consider a number of points, more practical than philosophical, which are relevant to the application of the moral conclusion we have reached. These points challenge not the idea that we ought to be doing all we can to prevent starvation, but the idea that giving away a great deal of money is the best means to this end. It is sometimes said that overseas aid should be a government responsibility, and that therefore one ought not to give to privately run charities.

What's wrong with creating jobs in the voluntary sector? There are worse things you can do with your money more particularly if coke whores are involved.  

Giving privately, it is said, allows the government and the noncontributing members of society to escape their responsibilities.

If you suck off a hobo, Donald Trump escapes his responsibility for doing so.  

This argument seems to assume that the more people there are who give to privately organized famine relief funds, the less likely it is that the government will take over full responsibility for such aid. 

In a free society, the Government can't prevent such voluntary action. Speaking generally, Exchange Control under Bretton Woods made an exemption for charitable outflows. 

his assumption is unsupported, and does not strike me as at all plausible. The opposite view-that if no one gives voluntarily, a government will assume that its citizens are uninterested in famine relief and would not wish to be forced into giving aid-seems more plausible. In any case, unless there were a definite probability that by refusing to give one would be helping to bring about massive government assistance, people who do refuse to make voluntary contributions are refusing to prevent a certain amount of suffering without being able to point to any tangible beneficial consequence of their refusal.

Sadly, there is no way of knowing if a voluntary contribution will definitely reduce suffering by some measurable amoung.  

So the onus of showing how their refusal will bring about government action is on those who refuse to give. 

Only in the sense that the onus is on Singer to suck off hobos. In other words this is an arbitrary ipse dixit assertion of a foolish type.  

I do not, of course, want to dispute the contention that governments of affluent nations should be giving many times the amount of genuine, no-strings-attached aid that they are giving now.

Bauer & Myint, who were economists (the latter was Burmese) thought Aid could be very harmful indeed. On balance, they were right.  

I agree, too, that giving privately is not enough, and that we ought to be campaigning actively for entirely new standards for both public and private contributions to famine relief. Indeed, I would sympathize with someone who thought that campaigning was more important than giving oneself, although I doubt whether preaching what one does not practice would be very effective.

This is like Amartya Sen who believes there are 'second order' public goods- i.e. campaigning for more public goods is itself a public good. But such second order work can crowd out first order provision. Like the Bengali students who burnt buses to protest agains the lack of buses, the underlying problem was exacerbated.  

Singer, however, views this as a desirable outcome!

..., it should be clear that we would have to give away enough to ensure that the consumer society, dependent as it is on people spending on trivia rather than giving to famine relief, would slow down and perhaps disappear entirely.

In which case we could never again give money away. Rather, we would have to beg.  

There are several reasons why this would be desirable in itself.

Begging is good. Having money is bad.  

The value and necessity of economic growth are now being questioned not only by conservationists, but by economists as well.

Back then Schumacher was respected. The fucker thought Burma had chosen the right path to rise! 

It is sometimes said, though less often now than it used to be,

because the thing was blindingly obvious 

that philosophers have no special role to play in public affairs,

Stalin was a philosopher.  

since most public issues depend primarily on an assessment of facts. On questions of fact, it is said, philosophers as such have no special expertise, and so it has been possible to engage in philosophy without committing oneself to any position on major public issues. No doubt there are some issues of social policy and foreign policy

and policy regarding famine & structural volatility in agriculture 

about which it can truly be said that a really expert assessment of the facts is required before taking sides or acting, but the issue of famine is surely not one of these.

No. It has always been a purely positive, ideographic, matter. Fine words butter no parsnips. Good intentions pave the path to hell. You need high level local knowledge to establish a structural causal model and thus identify those parameters amenable to improvement.  

The facts about the existence of suffering are beyond dispute.

Cancer causes suffering. I don't dispute that. But I don't want Singer involved in diagnosing or treating cancer or any other type of disease. 

I wouldn't even want him to raise money for Cancer Research. Why? He has shit for brains. He'd probably waste the money on some charlatan who would mislead the public.  

Nor, I think, is it disputed that we can do something about it, either through orthodox methods of famine relief

known only to experts in that field.  

or through population control

see above. 

or both. This is therefore an issue on which philosophers are competent to take a position.

Philosophers, who know no Mathematics and no Physics, can take a position on String Theory. But so can a drunken hobo. What they can't do is make any useful contribution to it because they can't understand it in the first place.  

The issue is one which faces everyone who has more money than he needs to support himself and his dependents,

i.e. has some 'discretionary income'. The problem here is that how you use discretionary income impacts what you will earn in the future. Spend a lot on booze & hookers & you may become unemployable. On the other hand, you may be promoted more speedily if you spend on smart suits, an expensive watch or car, and cultivate a taste for fine wine.

Interestingly, a reputation for charitable giving boosts credit-worthiness especially in 'high-trust' in-groups. You are sending a signal that you have money to spare. True you could have spent it on cocaine, but cocaine is addictive. It is easy to go cold turkey on charity. 

or who is in a position to take some sort of political action. These categories must include practically every teacher and student of philosophy in the universities of the Western world.

Were teachers of philosophy well paid in 1972?  Not really. What political action were they capable of? The French philosophers who came out onto the streets in '68, had gone back to the class-room. De Gaulle had triumphed. The future of the Left lay with Mitterand not some maître à penser

If philosophy is to deal with matters that are relevant to both teachers and students,

famine? That's a big problem in the Philosophy faculty?  

this is an issue that philosophers should discuss.

so as to exhibit their own stupidity to those who might not have been aware that the subject had become adversely selective of imbecility. 

Discussion, though, is not enough. What is the point of relating philosophy to public (and personal) affairs if we do not take our conclusions seriously?

Philosophy is like Literature- i.e. part of Paideia. Acquiring the rudiments of such disciplines signals breeding.  

In this instance, taking our conclusion seriously means acting upon it.

By quitting Academica & taking a job with Oxfam? 

The philos-opher will not find it any easier than anyone else to alter his attitudes and way of life to the extent that, if I am right, is involved in doing everything that we ought to be doing.

A French philosopher- Bernard Henri Levi- went to Bangladesh and got a post with the new government. Singer is a couple of years older than BHL.

At the very least, though, one can make a start.

Singer did start giving away 20 to 40 percent of his income. I suppose, Leftists mocked him for being a 'bourgeois idealist'.  

The philosopher who does so will have to sacrifice some of the benefits of the consumer society, but he can find compensation in the satisfaction of a way of life in which theory and practice, if not yet in harmony, are at least coming together.

Singer wasn't intimidated by the Maoists in the economy. He had lost family members to Hitler &, being Australian, was in no mood to truckle to hatemongering lunatics.  

One may say he was stupid but he was a man of character. Sadly, the same can't be said for some of the 'effective altruist' fraudsters. 

Friday, 28 August 2026

Nathan Cofnas's bright future.

 Nathan Cofnas is 40 years old. He is a post-doctoral fellow in Belgium researching 'the future of liberalism'. In other words, even if he isn't brain-dead, he is in a zombie profession where the only thing worse than being a post-doc would be being a fucking Professor. Nevertheless, thanks to the Jason Arday affair, it now looks as though he can establish himself in the front rank of well remunerated public intellectuals.

Does he deserve his good luck?

Briefly- yes. He took risks and completed worthless theses at different intstitutions on different continents. Still, it was sheer luck that the Arday case ended in the manner that it did because, it turned out, the diversity hire was genuinely nuerodivergent ( i.e. he genuinely believed invisible racists were trying to kill him) and that his own family didn't bother to take steps to get him sectioned & thus kept safe from self-harm. 

Nathan wasn't mathsy and thus could make no contribution to evolutionary biology or philosophy. He got his start critiquing a low IQ Catholic anti-Semite but there really wasn't a lot of mileage in it because George Soros ws determined to provie evidence that 'rootless' Jews wanted to destroy Christendom by importing hordes of crazy Jihadis. 

What about attacking affirmative action & 'wokeness' back home in the US? The problem here is that you need heavy econometric chops to muscle in on that territory. Moreover, if even African American Sociolgists, publishing alethic research, can get cancelled, what hope had Nathan? 

Interestingly, after a first degree from Columbia, Nathan went to Hong Kong for his masters and then Cambridge and Oxford for his M.Phil & PhD respectively. The problem he faced was that 'Philosophy of Biology' is either super-mathsy or else it is finger painting with your own faeces. 

As a case in point, consider a recent paper by Cofnas taking issue with the stardard defintion of natural selection as featuring

(1) “phenotypic variation,”

 (2) “differential fitness,” 

(3)  'heritable fitness'

 I argue that the standard formulation is inadequate because it fails to distinguish natural selection from artificial selection by humans,

humans are part of nature 

intelligent design by God,

God is immanent in Nature 

forward-looking orthogenetic selection,

bound to happen if a species evolved by sexual selection gains consciousness. 

and adaptation via the selection of nonrandom variation.

There is no way to tell random from pseudorandom (Razbarov Rudich) 

In the case of artificial selection and intelligent design, natural or supernatural agents intervene in the mutation and/or selection process to drive evolution in a predetermined direction.

There may be such a direction- e.g. 'the law of increasing functional information'- which, however, maps poorly to what we cognize as biological life or, indeed, an 'extended phenotype'.  

“Orthogenesis” refers to the idea that evolution follows a predetermined path. (“Ortho” comes from the Greek word for “straight.”)

It may be that 'at the end of mathematical time' (i.e. after all possible mathematics is completed) all lawless choice sequences are known to be lawful or, as the mystics say, all Freedom is discovered to be Bondage or the other way around. 

In the case of orthogenetic selection, a natural teleological force influences survival and reproduction in order to guide evolution toward a predetermined endpoint.

If there is verification that such is the case, then we know the choice sequence of the Universe is lawful though we may still not comprehend what exactly that law is.  

I will also call this “natural teleological selection.”

A Brouwerian free creating subject could have a teleolgy. Indeed, the Intuitionist may say that his adventious discoveries were all pre-planned in a manner occult even to himself. Like Novalis's magician, he is unaware of how he performs his own tricks.  

Adaptation via the selection of nonrandom variation involves heritable variation arising because it will be favored by selection. All four of these evolutionary processes involve heritable variation in fitness, but, I claim, they should not be classified as natural selection.

 They aren't. We speak of 'artificial insemination' as opposed to such as would occur in the wild. Moreover, devout people speak of God as having created their imperishable soul. They may also mention supernatural beings- e.g. Angels- who worked miracles for a particular purpose. 

Natural selection can be distinguished from artificial selection, intelligent design, orthogenetic selection, and adaptation via the selection of nonrandom variation by adding a no teleology condition. No teleology The evolutionary process is not teleological.

What of the fitness landscape? If it is teleological- for e.g. aimed at increased functional information- then evolution is teleological or, in the case of our species, about to become so. 

When God guides evolution in order to achieve his purpose, this is paradigmatically teleological.

Not unless it is his purpose that we grasp this or, equally, that is his purpose is that we don't grasp this or if God's purposes could not seem purposive to us.  

But it is not clear what it means for there to be a telos in the absence of an agent who intends and strives.

Nor is it clear what purpose means or means means. They are Tarskian primitives.  

There may not be a simple, unifying concept of teleology that covers both goal-directed behavior by agents and (hypothetical) forward-looking natural forces that may or may not be metaphysically reducible to efficient causes.

Or there may be nothing but that concept.  

If agential interference in the evolutionary process, orthogenetic selection, and adaptation via the selection of nonrandom variation should not be classified as “natural selection,”

nothing follows. One 'should' is compatible with an equal and opposite 'should'. Imperative statements may look logical but they aren't really. This is Jorgensen's dilemma. 

the no teleology condition will have to invoke different concepts of “teleology”—different ways of aiming at a telos.

This is a meta-telos- having a purpose with respect to purpose. But that is still just a purpose. Does it arise out of natural selection (because we all do)? If so is it a 'spandrel' or is it functional? Can there be 'naturality' in this matter?

No. The thing is mere displacement activity- like the rest of philosophy. It passes the time as time passes us by. 

I will classify these under two headings: “agential teleology” and “natural teleology.”

Such classifications always turn out to be a distinctions without a difference. What matters is whether there scientists can identify 'natural transformations'. Currently this seems promising. It looks as though phenotypic mutational robustness bounds in genetics naturally align with fractal curves and pure number-theoretic functions, pointing to deep, unforced mathematical regularities in evolution. This is useful but only provisionally so. At some point some arbitrary element intrudes. Still, one could say 'synthetic' information causes a particular type of error accumulation & model collapse but the way it is repaired is by increasing verification. This is where the arbitrary element returns. My point is that naturality is mathematical not philosophical. The verification protocol can always be modelled as agential. But it is the fitness landscape which is in the driver's seat. 

I address these two types of teleology, in turn, in the following two sections.

 Agential teleology A process exhibits agential teleology if it is guided toward an end that is represented in the mind of an agent.

Did any mind guide any historical process in the Twentieth century towards an end it intended? One might say 'all the minds of the belligenerents who went to war in 1914 had the purpose of going to war'. But that is circular. It isn't informative. One might as easily say 'everybody's purpose is to die which is why everybody does manage to end up dead within a century or so.' 

The evolutionary process exhibits agential teleology when an agent—such as a breeder, a genetic engineer, or a divine intelligent designer—introduces mutations nonrandomly with respect to, or selects heritable variants with reference to, a mentally represented endpoint.

No. The evolutionary process is only at work where some such people are weeded out while others gains more resources. If there is no competition or predators there is no selection pressure.

There is no great harm in writing shite of the sort I have just quoted. Equally, it would be easy enough for anyone with half a brain to gas on about the future of liberalism precisely because it began by apotheosizing 'naturality' against arbitrariness. Could there be a categorical Utopia of the Condorcet type? Malthus's theory of population ws the counter claim. Even if a utopia was established, immigration or (in the absence of 'vice' (i.e. wanking, contraception, homosexuality etc.)) runaway population growth would turn everything to shit again. This was connected (as Keynes would note) with 'underconsumption' crises. Darwin, of course, applied Malthus's paradigm to Biology & thus got to natural selection. This meant either Eugencis/Planned Economies as needful for 'Social' Liberalism or else (after mathematical Mendelism triumphed over vestigal Lamarckism) a Hayekian scepticism re. information aggregation which was reinforced by purely mathematical problems of concurrency, complexity, computability & categoricity. 

For the Left, Maynard Smith (a former card-carrying Commie) and Hamilton, Price, etc., presented a scandal. Uncoreelated asymmetries (especially if they generate Aumann public signals) dictate eusocial 'bourgeois strategies'. Moreover 'co-evolved strategies can increase evolvability but without categoricity (or  unicity). 

In this context, there are no 'conceptual' problems. Everything is merely pragmatic and relates to shifting coordination & discoordination games. Thus we can say, for any practical purpose there are Voevodsly style 'univalent foundations' or 'observational equivalence'. 

In other words, though guys doing mathsy evolutionary biology may be doing very useful stuff, philosophy can only add noise to signal. Rockefeller Uni realised this when it got rid of its high price Philosophy Dept. in the mid Seventies even though the discipline still had some high IQ dudes back then. 

It may be that AI will enable non-mathsy dudes to become more productive, or- more to the point- useful, and, if so, Nathan may redeem himself as he rises within the Academy. 


Thursday, 27 August 2026

Roland Fryer on Jason Arday

Roland Fryer writes in the WSJ about Jason Arday.


I am saddened by the story of Jason Arday.

He was suffering from Schizophrenia. He believed racists were trying to kill him. It may be that he took his life because he feared that his family might be targetted if he himself remained alive.

The tragedy here is that Arday's supporters didn't really believe evil racist murderers existed. That's why they didn't reassure Arday that he had nothing to fear. 

Now, Arday's supporters are claiming him as a martyr to their cause though it was their own negligence and stupidity which caused Arday's death. 

There was the life, as he told it: autistic, unable to speak until 11 or to read and write until 18, and at 37 the youngest black professor in the history of Cambridge. I was 30 when I became the youngest black professor to get tenure at Harvard.

Like Sowell, Fryer was disliked by the Liberal Academy because he was providing empirical evidence against some of their foundational myths.  

There was the unraveling: a July report that passages of his thesis matched another scholar’s, an investigation,

Arday should have gone on the offensive by saying that 'plagiarism' or 'copying' is a social construct based on 'intellectual property'. It is the product of the diseased White male mind. In Africa, there is Ubuntu- sharing rather than ownership.  

his resignation and, nine days later, his death. And there was the press’s unrelenting scrutiny, which I too know something about.

But Arday hadn't been snorting coke while groping girls. All he did was confuse fantasy with reality which was entirely understandable given his diagnosis (Autism is actually close to Schizophrenia though Baron Cohen had previousy suggested otherwise). 

I felt something similar watching the frenzy around Claudine Gay two years ago, despite my history with her, and around Jayson Blair two decades before that.

Glen Loury was the precedent in Fryer's case.  

I don’t know the whole truth of these cases, and for what economics has to say about how to avoid them, it doesn’t matter.

No. The truth does matter to Economics. But, in Arday's case everything was normative, nothing alethic. There is no theft of intellectual property if it is merely a set of imperative statements which are being echoed. 

Each case raises the same question: Have elite institutions become so eager for diversity

they are hiring monkeys? 

that they take chances on people whose credentials wouldn’t otherwise get them in the door?

That isn't the case here. Arday should have gone on the attack by saying 'plagiarism' was the invention of diseased white minds which affirm 'intellectual property' rather than 'Ubuntu'. 

Sadly, he was genuinely mentally ill.  

I hope so.

Fair point. Maybe, after Trump resigns & gets a pardon from Vance, he should come to Harvard to teach Trade theory.  

Many people took chances on me. My grades weren’t impressive, my home life was a mess, and a vocational-education teacher had to talk me into finishing high school. At each step someone looked past the record and bet on what I might become.

Fryer is considered to have done good work- at least by the standards of his discipline.  

My quarrel with DEI has never been that it takes chances. It’s with what happens after the initial opportunity.

If DEI in Medicine leads to Black surgeons killing patients, we'd all have a bone to pick with it. But that hasn't happened. If unqualified people teach worthless shite, we don't give a fuck.  

At the University of Chicago, where I finished graduate school, nobody confused potential with accomplishment.

But they were as confused as fuck as to what is or isn't junk social science.  

Gary Becker, Steven Levitt and Sherwin Rosen pushed me constantly.

Fryer would be an effective propagandist for their cause. But the same was true of Arday. Sadly, Arday's mental illness left him unable to distinguish reality from fantasy. I think he killed himself because he thought there really were evil racists with supernatural powers who were determined to destroy him.  

So did James Heckman, who, I’m fairly sure, never liked me. The message wasn’t that I was bad. It was that I wasn’t good yet. Rosen once told me that not only did he not practice affirmative action, he was trying not to hold my race against me. It sounded harsh, but it meant his opinion was worth having.

If Econ was worth doing. It wasn't. Trump has proved that.  

For years, before I submitted a paper I would present it in a Chicago workshop; if it wasn’t completely destroyed, I figured it might be ready.

The freshwater Economists were competing with the saltwater toffs. Fryer was their palladin or padawan.  

The Chicago approach did two things at once: It built my skills and tested whether I had any. While I was there, Mr. Heckman was developing a theory of skill-building, published in 2007 with Flavio Cunha as “The Technology of Skill Formation.” Skills at each stage of life, in their model, are produced from the skills one already has and the investment made at that stage.

Yet new skills can be acquired by a set of people all of whom have a different skill base from each other.

Skills persist and feed on one another, and skill already in place raises the return on new investment, so by the same logic early investment fades unless it is followed up.

The problem with appeals to supermodularity are that the thing isn't falsifiable.  

Their canonical example was early childhood education,

Nothing acquired as such can't be gained by some adult who lacked any such thing.  

but the logic applies just as well to faculty development.

This isn't logic. It is a fantasy. 

Finding out whether one has skills is less obvious.

No. It is easy to verify you lack a skill.  

Investing in someone builds capacity and reveals how much capacity there is to build.

Nonsense! An investor may or may not build capacity and may or may not have any good way to be sure it is happening during the investment process.  

Philipp Harms and I modeled this as a two-armed bandit.

Mathematical masturbation is still just smasturbation.  

Picture two slot machines: One pays a known amount; what the other pays you can learn only by playing it. In our version, playing the unknown machine—investing in the person—both raises its payout and reveals what it is worth.

This is a just-so story. We don't know where, if at all, it applies.  

That second job, finding out, is the one DEI forgets.

Nonsense! DEI can test to destruction. We pick a random bunch of guys for paratroop training. Then we push them all out of a plane. The one's who go splat are dropped from the program. So are the ones who soiled themselves and are now screaming their tits off. 

Taking a chance on someone is a bet that the initial signals—test scores, transcripts, a résumé—understated the candidate. Rational. But an institution that overrides a noisy signal has taken on an obligation to produce better ones.

It really hasn't unless it is in the breast-feeding business. Fryer forgets that the US Army, during war, had to embrace DEI at least at the margin. No doubt, this did mean a lot of 'negroes' went splat. But those that didn't could rise- like Colin Powell.  

A school, business or organization that makes the bet and won’t read the results has paid for the option and thrown it away.

The result gets read. Arday went splat. Cambridge has egg on its face. Suppose Arday had played the Ubuntu card re. plagiarism and then done a documentary about living with psychosis (a la 'Beautiful Mind') he'd be laughing all the way to the bank right now. Cambridge's Dept of Education would be vindicated. The next step would be to get feral cats into Chairs of Cognitive Psychology. After that, aardvarks might hope to head the Department of Actuarial Science.  

The perverse achievement of much of DEI is that it begins by declaring the initial signals unreliable and ends by making every subsequent signal unreliable too.

That's what happened to Econ. All we can say is that this piece of shite represents best current practice/ 

Both obligations—to keep investing in the person, and to provide honest signals about how it’s going—can be met.

By seeing what makes more money. That's all that matters.  

Development is the easier one. In a randomized trial of the City University of New York’s ASAP program—which entails intensive advising and tutoring—three-year graduation rates for low-income students were 40%, vs. 22% in the control group.

But did it result in higher earnings? No. Fuck it.  

The harder obligation is telling people the truth about their work.

More particularly in a country where shooting up your high school or community college is a national pastime.  

The psychologist Kent Harber has spent a quarter-century showing that white evaluators give gentler comments on the same essay when they believe the writer is black or Hispanic rather than white. They presumably think they are being kind; they are withholding the one thing the writer needs.

Writing is adversely selective because shite gets paid better than worthwhile stuff. Praise the cretin by all means. Who else will want to earn a living by marketing their own stupidity?  

When David Yeager and Geoffrey Cohen had teachers’ marked-up essays returned to seventh-graders with one sentence attached—“I’m giving you these comments because I have very high expectations, and I know that you can reach them”—the share of black students who chose to revise rose to 71% from 17%.

Has this been replicated? Perhaps. But there's a 'Hawthorne effect' here. The feeling that someone is paying attention changes work effort  

Often the experiment fails, and it must, or there would be nothing to learn. A healthy society needs to be able to say:

we don't eat our own shit 

We saw potential, we took a chance, we invested seriously, the evidence came in, and we were wrong.

Let people do it on their own. Blacks do well in highly competitive fields- provided they are intrinsically rewarding & , at the top end, very well remunerated. Academia is neither of these things. 

But imagine a university that took 100 chances on minority faculty and denied tenure to 95.

They fan out and teach in High Schools or Middle Schools or, in the case of the most abjectly retarded, Primary or Nursery Schools. What's wrong with that? That's how the educational system is supposed to run in a 'normal population'. 

That would be a scandal too, so the pressure runs toward parity in outcomes and toward promoting rather than developing.

In an 'ageing population', this would swiftly yield a situation where there are ten professors for every student. The thing is not fiscally viable.  

Stephen Morris, an economic theorist, explained why in a 2001 paper titled “Political Correctness”: An adviser who fears being thought a bigot shades what he says until it carries no information at all.

Fuck off! Advisers actively lie.  

Opportunity alone didn’t produce these scandals. Refusing to hold anyone to a real standard afterward did. By 2002 Mr. Blair had so many corrections at the New York Times

does anybody now think the NYT is a credible news source?  

that his editor, Jonathan Landman, wrote colleagues: “We have to stop Jayson from writing for the Times. Right now.” The paper moved him to the national desk anyway. Howell Raines, the Times’s executive editor, told his newsroom he believed in hiring minorities aggressively, then conceded: “You have a right to ask if I, as a white man from Alabama, with those convictions, gave him one chance too many.”

We have a right to think the NYT was and is garbage.  

Ms. Gay went from professor to dean to president of Harvard on 11 published articles. The question isn’t what she did with the job but what the people promoting her were reading.

At least she wasn't an Economist- like Larry Summers.  

Cambridge answered detailed complaints about Mr. Arday’s work in 2023with his department’s “full support,” according to Retraction Watch. The scandal was only the last chapter; the failure was in every earlier one, when someone could have been harder on the work and wasn’t.

Fryer may think that 'Sociology of Education' in the UK is based on econometric investigation. It isn't. Arday wasn't stupider than average. He was mentally ill. That's why he killed himself.  

As I was leaving Chicago in 2003, a professor told me, “Be careful of the liberals.” I thought it was about politics. It wasn’t. He wasn’t worried that I would be ignored at Harvard, the usual concern of junior faculty. He was worried that I wouldn’t get feedback—that the people around me would want so badly for me to succeed, and for themselves not to be mistaken for bigots, that they would flinch from the uncomfortable things required to make me better. Mr. Raines was that person for Mr. Blair.

Fryer's work has had no impact. There is little point going down the Sowell/Clarence Thomas route. Keep your nose clean & prepare for a Harris administration.  

Every time I see a minority pilloried as “unqualified,” I wince. The trope is old—the black hire who couldn’t do the job—and durable, because the cases that fit it become news,

old news 

and the ones that don’t become careers.

You can make a career out of being the diversity hire who was let down by her boss- e.g. Kamala Harris.  

Sadder than the stories themselves would be the lesson many will draw from them: Take fewer chances. It is exactly backward. If we believe in the people we bet on, the obligation starts at the door, and the remedy is to run these bets the way anyone runs a series of experiments: as a portfolio.

The Chinese think like engineers. But so did the Americans- once upon a time. Sadly, a portfolio of crap is still just crap.  

Take 10 chances and expect most to fail; those who make it are people the market would never have found.

Unless there are market makers- which is all that private universities are.  

Venture capitalists lose money on most of what they fund, and nobody calls a failed startup a scandal.

Unless coke whores were involved.  

The people who took chances on me changed my life.

But you have changed nothing.  

The people who risked being called bigots to tell me I wasn’t good enough yet changed it even more.

& the people who ask you why, if you know Econ, you aren't a trillionaire, would change it even more if they existed. They don't exist because nobody thinks an Econ PhD isn't a certificate in stupidity.  

Wednesday, 26 August 2026

Why Sumit Sarkar wasted his life.


Sumit Sarkar's father was a Communist at a time when the power of the Communist party was rising in West Bengal. The Centre, too, was moving Leftward & had allied with the Soviet Union.

Sumit, however, lived to see the BJP come to power both in Delhi and Kolkata. Communism was dead. 'Subalterns' had taken power. Consider Alluri Sitarama Raju, the Hindu Sanyassi who led the Rampa revolt in 1922. There was a time when Sumit could say the fellow was unknown outside his district. But the film RRR  came out in 2022. It won the Oscar for best song. There is an airport and a district named after the hero. No one can pretend he was actually a voiceless tribal or incipient Maoist. The man was a Hindu revolutionary of precisely the type that created and continue to inspire the current ruling party both at the Centre and in West Bengal. 

In 'Open Magazine', Shaan Kashyap writes-

Sumit Sarkar (1939-2026) and the Deepening of Indian Democracy

Sumit had nothing to do with the deepening of anything whatsoever. Dynasticism declined and the Hindu majority asserted itself.  

Sumit Sarkar’s life as a historian and public intellectual was defined by

writing worthless shite. The stupid cunt was part of the 'subaltern' group. They didn't seem to be aware that the subaltern was taking power all over the country. It was tribals and Dalits and OBCs who were becoming Chief Ministers. New States were being carved out for them. Stupid Marxists either emigratedo or were ignored.  

a persistent scrutiny of power

He couldn't scrutinise shit. Historians had no power. They weren't an elite. They were deluded shitheads.  

—whether exercised by the Right, the Left, the state or institutions of knowledge

Neither the Right nor the Left would give him the time of day. He was irrelevant. I suppose, there was a time when one could say 'he represents West Bengal's determination to keep the BJP out of power' but there was no such determination. Sarkar's virtue signalling was worthless. 

Sumit Sarkar (1939-2026), who passed away on August 13, 2026, was not only one of the tallest historians of modern India

He was rubbish. History is written by those who make it, not by those who live in cloud cuckoo land.  

but also a public intellectual of rare courage, clarity and intellectual integrity.

He may have been a public toilet. What is certain is he was overflowing with shit.  

His writings as a public intellectual can be read as a sustained interrogation of a deceptively simple question: what makes democracy possible, and what makes it vulnerable?

Nonsense! Everybody knows what makes democracy possible- viz. periodic elections which lead to one party or bunch of politicians displacing another. This requires a good enough Election Commission and an Army which doesn't conduct coups. 

What makes democracy vulnerable is a large  Muslim population. The peaceful religion doesn't seem congenial to democracy. Look at Pakistan and Bangladesh. Im the Dim is in jail. Sheikh Hasina is in exile. Now look at India. The Bench may send a politician to jail but, chances are, he will be out on bail soon enough. Nobody has to go into exile. The Army has zero political role.  

His answer was

meaningless gibberish 

never confined to elections or constitutional institutions. It concerned the distribution of power—in universities, communities, political parties, historical memory and the nation itself.

All of which are wholly irrelevant. The distribution of power wasn't so different between India & Pakistan. India has been democratic. Pakistan hasn't. 

The fact is, when a Dictator usurps power, it can't be because power has been redistributed though, subsequently, some such thing may occur. Thus, when Portugal, Spain, Greece and, later on, Warsaw pact countries, switched to Democracy, there simply hadn't been enough time for a big change in power distribution. Thus Sumit was completely wrong. This was because his entire brain was constituted by a thick lump of shit.  

The argument was already visible in his 1989 essay, ‘Autonomy for Whom?’, written against Rajiv Gandhi’s education reforms and the UGC’s proposals for autonomous departments and colleges.

Neither of which mattered in the slightest. The only comment that can be made about that period is that 'Autocracy is tempered by Assassination'. Universities don't matter- more particularly if they tuned to shit long ago.  

The language of the reforms was democratic:

No. Nobody was saying that College Principals or Vice Chancellors should be elected.  

autonomy, decentralisation and freedom from bureaucratic control.

have nothing to do with Democracy. The fact is Democracy has been associated with increased centralization and bureaucratic control not just in Europe and America but also India.  

Sarkar questioned the assumption that decentralisation was automatically democratic.

If some Indian shithead was making that assumption, then it was because the fellow had shit for brains. It was fucking obvious that Democracy in India had increased centralization and reduced 'subsidiarity'.  

Feudal Europe had been decentralised;

No. It was synoecist. The Pope in Rome had the power to loose and bind. It is a different matter that centralization of various types was 'contested'. But, the fact is, where there are Emperors (e.g. the Holy Roman one) there is greater centralization than when there are Nation States.  

so, had the slaveholding American South.

Which was democratic.  

The real question, he insisted, was the distribution of power within an autonomous unit:

The unit isn't autonomous if some within it are allied with powerful forces outside it.  

autonomy for whom?

For the unit, you fucking cretin. If it is cohesive and acts independently of other power centers then it is autonomous. If some powerful constitutent within it gets it to do what some alien power center wants, then it isn't autonomous at all.

Thus, if a University is held hostable by the youth wing of the Communist party, the University isn't really autonomous.  On the other hand, if it pursues a rational strategy to compete in terms of excellence with other Universities, then it is autonmous. 

The proposed reforms made his concern concrete.

Neither he nor those reforms mattered in the slightest.  

Departmental councils could exclude half or more of the teachers; students had no meaningful representation; teachers outside the council need not be consulted even on syllabi; and day-to-day administration would effectively rest with the head. The UGC’s autonomous-college scheme similarly removed elected teacher representatives from governing bodies, replacing elections with rotation according to seniority. Sarkar warned that “autonomy” could simply produce dominant cliques around principals and heads.

But Universities couldn't actually get very much worse. Nor could they get better. Both students and staff were utterly shite  


The draft Accreditation Council report, Sarkar suggested, claimed to fight the legacies of colonial education, while quietly restoring precisely those features that nationalists had once opposed: less elected teacher representation, greater official control and tighter authority over universities. Lord Curzon, Sarkar observed with characteristic irony, would have been a happy man to find such worthy successors.

Lord Curzon did what was in the interest of Britain. Sarkar objected to the Indian government doing things which were in India's interest. If nationalism involved trying to fuck up the British rulers, surely it also entails fucking up Indian rulers? 


A year later, this concern with power moved from institutions to communal politics.

As Hindus, is it not our duty to ensure that Muslims are able to slaughter us with impunity? 

In ‘Understanding Communal Violence: Nizamuddin Riots’ (1990), written with Pradip Datta, Biswamoy Pati, Tanika Sarkar and Sambuddha Sen, Sarkar examined the violence of March 17, 1990, in which two Bangladeshi Muslim refugees

Why would Muslims need to run away from an Islamic Republic? The two men may have been economic migrants. They could not have been refugees.  

were killed in police firing and around 50 Muslims were injured. The immediate dispute concerned a boundary wall on land claimed by the Waqf Board and the Delhi Municipal Corporation. The police protected the Hindu crowd constructing it; municipal tankers supplied water for the mortar while refugee settlements burned nearby. An Arya Samaj leader explicitly compared the construction to the Ayodhya shilanyas and called it karseva.

If Muslims in Pakistan are ethnically cleasning Hindus, ought we not to try to help Muslims in India from doing the same thing? Is that not the true meaning of being a worthless Bengali shithead? 


Sarkar and his co-authors challenged conventional secular explanations of communal violence, which tended to blame criminals, a communalised police apparatus or distorted class conflict.

What he couldn't challenge was the notion that killing kaffirs is a religious duty. 

Such explanations could leave both elites and ordinary people strangely innocent. The investigation instead followed the organisations and networks behind the mobilisation and connected Nizamuddin to the wider Ram Janmabhoomi-Babri Masjid campaign.

This is why Hindus voted for those organisations and networks. Shitheads like Sumit helped the BJP by highlighting this.  

Communalism, they argued, had to be understood as a social and political process rather than an external aberration.

It is the process whereby one group enslaves or ejects another group from valuable territory.  

That method shaped Sarkar’s subsequent writings on Hindutva. In ‘Conversions and Politics of Hindu Right’ (1999), he examined the politics of conversion and the construction of the Christian “Other”.

You are the other who will go to Hell if you don't accept Lord Jesus as your personal God & Saviour.  

His argument was not an uncritical defence of Christianity. He acknowledged missionary coercion and the colonial history of conversion. But he also pointed to Christian participation in anti-war, anti-nuclear and socially progressive movements, including cooperation with secular, liberal and Left groups.

i.e. they are useless virtue signallers who will insist that we all let nice Jihadis chop our heads off.  

The important distinction was between a religion and the political uses made of stereotypes about it.

What was important for Sumit was that kaffirs offer themselves for slaughter.  


The history of shuddhi sharpened the argument.

If you are forcibly converted, nobody should be allowed to reconvert you to your ancestral religion.  

Arya Samaj campaigns that might have begun as social reform increasingly became exercises in policing religious boundaries.

There weren't any Arya Samajis in East Bengal. Why did Hindus have to run away from there.  

Shuddhi, tabligh and tanzim became mutually reinforcing sources of Hindu-Muslim tension in the 1920s. Savarkar’s 1923 definition of the Hindu through pitribhumi and punyabhumi further connected religious identity with nationalism.

Just like Narendra Modi & Suvendu Adhikari. Sumit wasted his fucking life.