According to an April 2025 survey, by a multi-university initiative named Bright Line Watch, which is housed at the Chicago Center on Democracy, the vast majority of the more than 500 U.S.-based political scientists think the United States is moving from liberal democracy to a form of authoritarianism. Since Bright Line Watch was created in 2016, it is clearly an anti-Trump outfit. Moreover, since 'political scientists', like other academics, in the US tend to be left of center, this finding is merely an expression of tribal, or politically partisan, loyalties.
Speaking generally, it is war or extremely adverse economic conditions which cause Governments to increase their power and authority over individuals and enterprises.
The Second World War, and then the Cold War which followed, it saw an enormous expansion in the Public Sector and in the powers of public authorities to regulate conduct of every sort.
Hannah Arendt chose 1954, the year when paranoia peaked in McCarthyite America, to aver that
... authority has vanished from the modern world. Since we can no longer fall back upon authentic and undisputable experiences common to all, the very term has become clouded by controversy and confusion.
The House Un-American Activities committee represented an authentic and indisputable experience for many people. Careers were ruined. Some Americans self-exiled. The authority of Congress had been asserted on broadcast TV. There was a definite chilling effect on free speech. It has been argued that the use of unilateral subpoenas by a Party which has a majority in both houses, is a more recent development. Others say this merely strengthened Congressional oversight- a necessary check on Executive power. Moreover, political support for smaller government grew as military threats receded and inflationary bias in the economy was removed. Authority, it appeared, could wax and wane. If you felt the Government had too much of it, you could realign your political preferences. Equally, if you felt the Government was not exercising proper authority in a particular field, you were welcome to push for it to do so. The rise of the Political Action Committee meant there was increasing 'unbundling' such that candidates no longer toed the party line.
Little about its nature appears self-evident or even comprehensible to everybody, except that the political scientist may still remember that this concept was once fundamental to political theory,
Which political theory? Neither Whig, nor Benthamite, nor Marxian political science made much mention of it. Economic forces and demographic trends were reshaping polities. It was doubtful that any Government could turn back the clock in this matter.
True, there may have been a lunatic fringe which hoped to restore the alliance of throne and altar which would restore serfdom or otherwise revive feudalism but it did not represent a coherent political theory as opposed to paranoid, anti-Semitic, ravings.
It is a different matter, that some knowledge of jurisprudence was useful to legislators or those who sought to limit the scale and scope of legislation. But that was an ideographic, not a nomothetic, enterprise.
With hindsight, we see that the bone of contention between Left and Right was whether economic growth and allocative efficiency was better achieved by the magic of the markets- Smith's 'invisible hand' or Hayek's 'spontaneous order'- or whether centralized planning and control was essential to prevent wasteful competition. This was a problem which could be posed in mathematical terms. By the beginning of the Seventies, the answer was clear. Problems of concurrency, complexity, computability and categoricity, vitiated the 'Command Economy' approach. There were intrinsic problems of volatility in the Free Market approach but perhaps that was a good thing. It drove liquidity and increased 'regret minimizing' behaviour which guarded against catastrophic risks and thus better compensated for Knightian Uncertainty- i.e. the fact that some possible future states of the world are unknown.
or that most will agree that a constant, ever-widening and deepening crisis of authority has accompanied the development of the modem world in our century.
Sheer nonsense! Informal or uncoercive forms of authority had been replaced by much stricter and more lethal structures.
Arendt was from Weimar Germany. The Professors who had written the Constitution had given the President the authority to rule by decree. This was because a defeated Germany was poor and weak. There was a risk of internal rebellion or predatory invasion. Thus, ample provision was made for 'a state of exception'- i.e. a National Emergency when due process of law might be suspended in specific respects.
This crisis, apparent since the inception of the century, is political in origin and nature.
This woman did not understand that the politics means stuff done by the State or those who seek to gain control over the State. It has nothing to do with what stupid pedants gas on about. Europe faced military and economic crises of an unprecedented sort in the first half of the Twentieth Century. The authority of the State increased. The freedom of the individual decreased. Bertrand Russel expressed this view in his essay on Orwell's 1984- 'Only those who remember the world before 1914 can adequately realize how much has already been lost. In that happy age, one could travel without a passport, everywhere except in Russia. One could freely express any political opinion, except in Russia. Press censorship was unknown, except in Russia. Any white man could emigrate freely to any part of the world. The limitations of freedom in Czarist Russia were regarded with horror throughout the rest of the civilized world, and the power of the Russian Secret Police was regarded as an abomination. Russia is still worse than the Western World, not because the Western World has preserved its liberties, but because, while it has been losing them, Russia has marched farther in the direction of tyranny than any Czar lever thought of going.' Russell did not add that anybody could buy any quantity of gold or foreign currency. They could invest anywhere without being answerable to any one. Taxes were light. Travel and communication was getting cheaper and less subject to official hindrance. If you had money and were White, the world was your oyster.
The rise of political movements intent upon replacing the party system,
The Communist party, like the Nazi party was just as much a party as the Tories or the Republicans.
and the development of a new totalitarian form of government,
where one party took over the Government and banned all the other parties
took place against a background of a more or less general, more or less dramatic breakdown of all traditional authorities.
Traditional authority traditionally disappears once we get to modern times.
Total war meant that even democratic countries had to beef up 'Authority'. In British India, which was a pretty laid back place if you happened to be White, even the privileged 'box wallahs' of Calcutta began to grumble about 'Authority' once their air conditioners were requisitioned for the Army's V.D hospital. Orwell, an Old Etonian, wrote 1984 as a protest against rationing under Atlee in 1948.
Nowhere was this breakdown the direct result of the regimes or movements themselves;
The reverse was the case. If the Tzar or Kaiser or Hapsburg in charge was as stupid as shit and lost a war, then their authority evaporated.
it rather seemed as though totalitarianism, in the form of movements as well as of regimes, was best fitted to take advantage of a general political and social atmosphere in which the party system had lost its prestige and the government’s authority was no longer recognized.
Where? Can Arendt give a single example of this happening? In Italy and Germany, the Dictator was initially a proxy for the anti-Communist Army. Portugal did have utterly rubbish 'Liberal' administrations but Salazar only came to power because of a financial crisis. Running out of money or facing the threat of a Communist takeover can have political consequences. But no decline in 'authority' caused any such thing. Why? There was never any mystical 'authority' even in the Age of Faith. This is because beating a Pope or Bishop tends to make him consecrate you as God's anointed.
The most significant symptom of the crisis, indicating its depth and seriousness, is that it has spread to such prepolitical areas as child-rearing and education,
Arendt had no kids. She believed that babies no longer loved and obeyed their Mummies. Also, kids kept knifing their teachers coz of Rock & Roll.
where authority in the widest sense has always been accepted as a natural necessity,
under exigent circumstances or to tackle a collective action problem of an urgent type
obviously required as much by natural needs, the helplessness of the child, as by political necessity, the continuity of an established civilization which can be assured only if those who are newcomers by birth are guided through a pre-established world into which they are born as strangers.
babies aren't strangers. They very quickly colonize Mummy or Daddy type people and spread joy and happiness.
Because of its simple and elementary character, this form of authority has, throughout the history of political thought, served as a model for a great variety of authoritarian forms of government,
Very true. Hitler used to keep his hair in curlers and rule Germany wearing an apron. He dealt with Rohm and Schleicher by sending them to bed without any supper. Stalin, on the other hand, regularly spanked Trotsky which is why he ran away to Mexico.
so that the fact that even this prepolitical authority which ruled the relations between adults and children, teachers and pupils, is no longer secure signifies that all the old time-honored metaphors and models for authoritarian relations have lost their plausibility.
Mummy isn't the model of an authoritarian relationship. Atilla the fucking Hun, maybe.
Since authority always demands obedience,
No. An authority on a subject does not demand obedience. Authority provides Aumann public signals which promote better correlated equilibria. But solutions to coordination games don't have to be coercive or demand compliance.
it is commonly mistaken for some form of power or violence.
Nonsense! Nobody thinks a thug has authority.
Yet authority precludes the use of external means of coercion;
No. It may be backed by a sanction but then again it may not.
where force is used, authority itself has failed.
Nope. It has been reinforced. An authority on German history may certify that Holocaust denial is not compatible with the historical record. The State may pass a law punishing Holocaust denial in which case we may say that the authority of historical experts has been affirmed or reinforced.
Authority, on the other hand, is incompatible with persuasion,
Rubbish! Authority can use 'moral suasion'- indeed Monetary authorities consider it to be part of their tool-kit.
which presupposes equality
persuasion does not presuppose equality. We may want to persuade the monarch as well as the jail-bird that smoking is bad for your health.
and works through a process of argumentation.
No. Persuasion may eschew arguments in favor of subliminal methods which appeal to cognitive dissonance- e.g. showing attractive people as holding a particular position while ugly and stupid people are shown holding the opposite position.
Where arguments are used, authority is left in abeyance.
Utterly false. The person with supreme authority may chose to supply arguments for why he is giving a particular order.
Against the egalitarian order of persuasion stands
coz Madison Avenue plutocrats were actually egalitarian Communists- right?
the authoritarian order, which is always hierarchical.
Nope. Authority may arise as a result of being the Schelling focal solution to a coordination game without any hierarchical distinctions arising. Thus, the 'price leader' may be a small firm with little market power. A pooling equilibrium is supported by 'cheap talk'. A separating equilibrium, which can be considered a discoordination game arising out of hedging and income effects, is supported by 'costly signals'. It is perfectly possible to participate in both. One may be equal to a billionaire before the law. One may be higher than him in the hierarchy of the Masonic lodge. But, on Wall Street, he is a lion. You are a mouse.
If authority is to be defined at all,
it is defined in terms of power or control rights
then, it must be in contradistinction to both coercion by force and persuasion through arguments.
No. Authority may use force or persuasion but can exist without either.
(The authoritarian relation between the one who commands and the one who obeys rests
on an uncorrelated asymmetry not some stupid shite Arendt pulled out of her arse.
neither on common reason
unless common reason is the name Arendt gives to shit she pulls out of her arse
nor on the power of the one who commands; what they have in common is the hierarchy itself, whose Tightness and legitimacy both recognize and where both have their predetermined stable place.)
This is sheer bullshit. Conquering Armies had an 'authoritarian relationship' with conquered peoples who had zero idea as to what 'hierarchy' obtained in the occupying country. The reason the conquered people obeyed the occupying forces was because they could see that they would be killed or incarcerated if they failed to comply. However, there was no 'predetermined and stable place' between, say, the American occupying forces and their German subjects. America didn't want to tyrannize over the Germans.
This point is of historical importance; one aspect of our concept of authority is Platonic in origin,
Rubbish! Plato is considered a shithead who knew nothing about politics. Alexander was important. Aristotle was a pedagogue.
and when Plato began to consider the introduction of authority into the handling of public affairs in the polis,
The public affairs of the polis were conducted on the basis of the authority of the ecclesia. Arendt- like Heidegger was a stupid as shit.
he knew he was seeking an alternative to the common Greek way of handling domestic affairs, which was persuasion
when not killing or exiling peeps- right?
as well as to the common way of handling foreign affairs, which was force and violence .
Encouraging trade and promoting joint cultural and religious activities were a big feature of the Hellenistic world. However, once nomadic pastoralists started chasing each other out of Eurasia, political philosophy became irrelevant. The revival of Greek power under Byzantine rulers gave way to Turkish rule. Then, Western European cod fishermen created a truly global maritime commerce which became increasingly industrialized and technologically advanced. These Western Europeans had a few pedants who pretended that Plato and Aristotle and so forth weren't as stupid as shit. But this was just a pretence. I suppose that is what Hannah's Aunt was getting at when she said authority was dead. Still, the dim bint was able to make a living for herself- not perhaps as good a living as Ayn Rand but beggars can't be choosers.
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